The resurgent Dees face the battling Saints in Alice Springs to kick off Sunday footy.
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Best Bet
Melbourne are a strong bet here.
The Dees have dominated this match-up, covering the line in each of the last five games against St Kilda and winning by an average of 33 points. They have also performed well at their second home in Alice Springs, covering in five of seven games with an average winning margin of 28 points.
Simon Goodwin’s side has turned things around over the last six weeks, winning five games. Their only loss came against sixth-placed Hawthorn. The Saints are trending the other way, having lost six of their last seven.
The gap in key stats over the past five weeks is hard to ignore. Melbourne rank second for scores from turnover differential while St Kilda sit 14th. Melbourne are third for clearance differential and the Saints are 10th. The Dees are also second for inside 50 differential compared to the Saints at 13th.
With St Kilda failing to cover in six of their last seven, back Melbourne to win this comfortably.
Same Game Multi
Kysaiah Pickett has kicked nine in his last three games.
Clayton Oliver averages 30 in his last five against St Kilda, while Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has had 25+ in six straight.
Value Bet
Oliver has hit 30 in four of ten games this year, including last week against Sydney. He’s also had 30+ in four of his last five at this venue, and in two of three against St Kilda.
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