AFL Tips – Gold Coast Suns v Fremantle – Round 12 2025

Freo are in search of a third straight win when they head to the Gold Coast on Saturday to face the Suns.

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Best Bet

Gold Coast 1-39

Line

$2.02

The Suns remain a strong home bet and should prove too good here, even with heavy rain in the forecast.

The expansion side has won 17 of its last 18 games as a home favourite and covered the line in 7 of the last 11, with an average winning margin of 16 points.

Up to 25mm of rain is expected in south-east Queensland on Saturday, which could turn this into a scrappy, low-scoring contest. That should favour the Suns, who rank third in clearance differential this season. Freo sits eighth.

Home ground advantage is also amplified when raining. Insterstate teams cover in just 45% of games played in wet weather, against 51% in dry conditions.

The Dockers have shown improvement in recent weeks but have a poor record at this venue, losing their last four games on the Gold Coast against the Suns. The absence of Alex Pearce is another blow.

Expect a tight, low-scoring clash, but back the Suns to continue their strong run at home.

Same Game Multi

Gold Coast 1-39, Under 155.5 Points, N.Anderson & C.Serong 25+ Disposals

TBC

Totals are never set low enough in wet weather games, with 70% going under since 2010. Check that the rain is going to arrive as forecast closer to the game.

Wet weather should mean big numbers for inside mids. Noah Anderson is averaging 30 touches a game this year while Caleb Serong has had 25+ in nine straight.

Value Bet

Noah Anderson

35+ Disposals

$6.00

The Suns skipper is coming off back-to-back 35-touch games. With wet weather forecast and Freo not employing a tagger, he’s a great bet to make it three on the trot.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.