South Sydney have gone up as outsiders at home against New Zealand but have enough talent to down their Top 4 opponent.
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South Sydney have dominated New Zealand for a long time and with the Warriors clearly being overrated by the market, the Bunnies look a bet.
Despite holding an 8-3 record, the Warriors have a negative differential. That suggests a pattern of overachievement that is likely to regress to the mean in the near future.
Souths have a great record against New Zealand with 13 wins in the last 15 games. The Bunnies have scored 28 or more in 13 of the 15. Since 2008, the Bunnies are 17-7 ATS.
This is a handy spot for the Bunnies. They are 8-2 ATS at Accor while they have covered eight of 11 off a win.
The Warriors get some big names back so confidence is not through the roof but the value is with the Bunnies.
Same Game Multi
Alex Johnston is the second greatest tryscorer in premiership history with 197 tries in 230 appearances.
Latrell Mitchell has a super record against the Warriors with six tries in nine games against New Zealand.
Value Bet
Leka Halasima is a huge young talent who is going to score a lot of tries in the NRL. He has three tries this year and is a huge price to go over again in a match the Warriors are likely to be right in.
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