Manly are missing Tom Trbojevic but there is just no way they should be an underdog at home against an overrated Broncos outfit.
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There are some great joys in the world. The birth of your children. Your wedding day. Winning a sporting league. Rolling around with your dog. Midnights in Paris. And betting against the Brisbane Broncos in 2025.
The Broncos are so insanely overrated that their opposition is nearly always a max bet. It is utterly insane that they are favoured at Brookvale Oval against Manly.
The Sea Eagles opened as favourites of 3.5 points before Tom Trbojevic was ruled out, seeing the Broncos firm into favourites of 3.5 points. It is a dramatic overreaction.
The 2025 Trbojevic is not the Turbo of old. He has been little more than a passenger this season as he carries a series if injuries. His loss is not worth seven points this year.
The Broncos are a below-average team that is priced like an elite one. They have covered just three of their last 14 games. They are 4-11 ATS off a loss. They are 1-9 ATS against teams outside the Top 8.
This is a super spot for Manly. They are 11-2 ATS off a loss while they are 10-1 ATS off conceding 30 or more points. They have covered 12 of the last 18 at Brookvale in night games.
Manly are one of the better bets of the round.
Same Game Multi
Tolutau Koula has been on fire this year with seven tries in his last eight games.
Tommy Talau was Manly’s top tryscorer last year with 18 tries in 23 appearances primarily on the left wing.
Value Bet
The Broncos right edge defence is horrific led by the swinging gate Jordan Riki. Ben Trbojevic has crossed three times this year and the Sea Eagles have been very left-heavy with their attack this year. Looks a monster price.
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