AFL Tips – GWS Giants v Richmond – Round 12 2025

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Best Bet

Over 173.5 Points

Total Points

$1.90

The Giants haven’t been punishing weaker opponents lately, and it’s hard to trust Richmond in their current form, so the focus here shifts to the total.

The over has landed in the last five meetings between these teams, with an average total of 191 points. Their clash at Engie Stadium in 2023 reached 214 points.

For the over to hit, both sides need to score, and GWS have been leaky this year. They’ve allowed an average of 82 points across seven games against bottom-ten teams, coincidentally the same as Richmond, ranking them equal 13th defensively. Those seven games have averaged a total of 184 points.

With Noah Balta out with his curfew, Jesse Hogan could do serious damage. He kicked four against the Tigers last year and nine against the similarly poor Eagles earlier this season. Toby Greene also has a great record against Richmond.

With fine weather expected, this shapes as another high-scoring encounter.

Same Game Multi

Over 173.5 Points, J.Hogan 3+ Goals, T.Greene 2+ Goals, L.Ash 25+ Disposals

TBC

We’ll keep this one pretty simple. As below, Jesse Hogan has a ridiculous record at this venue, while Toby Greene has kicked 13 in his last four against Richmond.

Lachie Ash has had 25+ in nine straight games.

Value Bet

Jesse Hogan

5+ Goals

$4.00

Jesse Hogan’s best games have come at Engie lately. He’s kicked 5+ in three of his last four at the ground.

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