After the shock firing of Michael Malone, will we see a statement game from Nikola Jokic as the Nuggets try to end their losing streak.
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Best Bet
Philadelphia 76ers @ Washington Wizards (9:10am)
Last two games we’ve see Justin Champagnie play big minutes for Washington, resulting in big stat lines.
Against the Celtics, Champagnie finished with 15 and 13, and then backed it up in Indiana where he had 20 points and 13 rebounds – both games playing 35+ minutes.
Across the season, Champagnie has only played 30+ minutes on 13 occasions, but when doing so he averages a PR of 25.2 covering the PR of 18.5 in 11 of those games including the last six. Considering the Wizards will likely pack up Poole, Middleton, Smart and Holmes, they literally have to play this bloke.
SGM: Sarr 15+ Points / Champagnie Over 18.5 PR / Carrington 6+ Assists = $4.00
Next Best
Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors (9:40am)
Surprised to still see this points line for Miles Bridges as his minutes continue to decrease as we conclude the regular season.
Across the last 12 games, Bridges averages just 28 minutes, resulting in 15.8 points per game over this stretch – he’s covered this line in just two of these games, playing 35 minutes in one of those games.
Off no rest and nothing to play for, I think we see Bridges’ minutes back around the 26-28 mark, and if his last two games against Toronto is anything to go by where he’s had 7 and 11 points, I can’t see him going off in this.
SGM: Bridges Under 20.5 Points / Quickley 15+ Points / Bridges 4+ Rebounds = $3.30
Value Bet
Denver Nuggets @ Sacramento Kings (12:10pm)
What does Nikola Jokic produce in somewhat of a statement game after Michael Malone was sacked?
We’ve seen the Joker go off while Jamal Murray has been sidelined over the last month, averaging 37.6 points across nine games without Murray – he’s hit 35+ points in five of those games including four of the last six.
The Kings concede points to centres 11% above average over the last month, and the last time Joker matched up against Domantas Sabonis he finished with 35 points on January 23. I think he could go bigger this time around.
SGM: Jokic 30+ Points / Sabonis 12+ Rebounds / Pickett 4+ Assists = $4.20
Thursday NBA Multi
Magic / Lakers / Trail Blazers = $3.40
