AFL Tips – Adelaide v Melbourne – Round 17 2025

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Best Bet

Adelaide -28.5

Line

$1.90

This looks a chips-in job on the Crows.

Adelaide have been merciless against bottom ten teams in 2025, going a perfect nine from nine. They’ve covered the line in seven of those with an average winning margin of 60 points.

Melbourne’s trademark under Simon Goodwin has been clearance and defence, but both have dropped away badly. The Dees are ranked 12th for clearances this year and have the equal third-worst defence in the competition.

The Crows also seem to thrive in daytime conditions. They’ve covered the line in 10 of 11 day games this year but just one of six at night.

Melbourne look just about spent in 2025, so expect the Crows to run wild on Sunday.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -28.5, J.Rachelle 2+ Goals, I.Rankine & K.Pickett Anytime Goal, J.Clark 25+ Disposals

$5.50

Rachelle has kicked 2+ in six straight games when his side are favourites and Izak Rankine has kicked seven goals in three games against the Dees.

Pickett has kicked nine in his last three games.

Value Bet

Adelaide 60+

Margin

$4.60

The Crows have won each of their last three against bottom eight teams by 60+ points. A blowout wouldn’t shock in this one.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.