NBA Finals Tips – Tuesday, June 17 NBA Picks & Multi

We’re deadlocked at two-apiece in the NBA Finals returning to Oklahoma City – will the Thunder take the series lead for the first time these Finals?

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Indiana Pacers @ OKC Thunder (10:30am)

Best Bet

Alex Caruso

Over 10.5 Points

$1.93

What an NBA Finals Alex Caruso is putting together – the exact reason why the Thunder traded for him in the first place.

Caruso averages 14.8 points per game against the Pacers over the last four games, covering this line in three of those games which includes scoring 20 points in both of OKC’s wins in Games 2 and 4.

The key behind Caruso’s scoring uplift is his minutes – the former Lakers Championship player is averaging just under 30 minutes per game. He only played 22 a game in the Minnesota series, 23 against Denver, and 21 against the Grizzlies.

The Cason Wallace experiment failed miserably for the Thunder with Wallace and Caruso struggling when on the court together – they’ve clearly prioritised Caruso though, and as a result those minutes will continue for the remainder of the Finals.

Value Bet

Chet Holmgren

Double Double

$2.20

Was our value bet in Game 3 which saluted, and Chet went even bigger in Game 4 with 14 points and 15 rebounds.

We’ve seen Chet’s minutes explode in the last two games, and he could be OKC’s most important player – of the 16 players that have played 50+ minutes so far this series, he has the best plus-minus total, emphasised by his +14 performance in Game 4.

Chet has played 35 and 37 minutes in consecutive games, even with Hartenstein returning into the starting lineup in Game 4, and I can’t see this slowing down.

With Hartenstein underwhelming in Game 4, think we’ll see more Holmgren minutes at centre in Game 5 and another big rebounding game.

SGM

Caruso Over 10.5 Points / Holmgren 8+ Rebounds / Toppin 10+ Points = $4.50