Penrith have opted to rest stars Nathan Cleary and Isaah Yeo and that leads to a strong play on the total in this clash with the Rabbitohs.
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Penrith have split up their Origin restings and it worked last week with the Panthers getting the money against the Eels. This week Penrith have South Sydney but will play without Nathan Cleary, Isaah Yeo and Liam Martin with Izack Tago also suspended.
This certainly brings Souths more into mix, particularly with Latrell Mitchell returning, but the more reliable play in this one is the under.
These two have gone under the total in four of their last five meetings.
The under is 19-12 when Penrith are off a win of 20-plus and 6-2 when they play bottom five teams.
The under is 17-6 in the last 23 Souths games with it being 9-5 when they play Top 6 teams.
Being with the under is the best way to play this game.
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Tom Jenkins has been one of the hottest tryscorers in the NRL with nine tries in his last eight games.
Alex Johnston has loved playing Penrith with 13 tries in 19 games.
Tyrone Munro has 10 tries in 13 games at NRL level.
Value Bet
Tallis Duncan managed just three tries in his first 40 NRL games but he has certainly found his tryscoring form of late. He has five tries in his last four games including doubles in each of his last two. He scored twice playing centre last week and will play centre again. He is a lovely bet to score a try.
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