AFL Tips – West Coast v Richmond – Round 19 2025

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Best Bet

Under 160.5 Points

Total Points

$1.90

With West Coast failing to cover the line in 12 of their last 13 as favourites and Richmond covering in just two of their last 11 on the road, the under looks like the only viable option in what shapes as a terrible match.

Both teams are struggling to hit the scoreboard, averaging just 52 points each over their last five games. Their form against similarly poor teams isn’t much better. The Tigers are averaging only 63 points against bottom six sides this season and the Eagles 76. Combined, eight of their 10 games against bottom six opposition have gone under.

Richmond games generally only go over when their opponents run up a big total. As a result, 12 of their 17 games have gone under this season, including seven of eight played at night. Tigers games are the lowest scoring in the competition, averaging just 141 total points.

Each of West Coast’s last five games has also gone under but they’ve done a better job defensively. Only one of their last five opponents has scored 100 or more compared to three for Richmond.

Games between bottom four teams have gone under 54% of the time since 2010 but that number jumps to 60% in night games.

Take the under, put the phone away and find something better to do with your Saturday night.

Same Game Multi

Under 160.5 Points, T.Taranto & J.Hopper 25+ Disposals, H.Reid 20+ Disposals

TBC

As you can imagine there are pretty grim formlines for all players from both of these teams.

Tim Taranto has had 25+ in four straight against the Eagles, while Jacob Hopper has had 27+ in three straight.

Harley Reid has had 20+ in three of his last four.

Value Bet

Harley Reid

30+ Disposals

$7.50

Harley Reid has panels on most of these players in terms of ability and will be relishing coming up against Richmond’s plodding midfield. He’s had a 27 and 28 touch performance in his last four games, so a 30+ looks well within his grasp in this one.

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