The Blues and Demons face off at the MCG on Saturday night in a match only for the true footy sickos.
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Best Bet
The under looks like the only sensible play in what’s shaping up to be a grim display of Australian rules football.
The last seven meetings between these teams have gone under the total, with an average score of just 139 points. Neither side has managed more than 80 points in any of the last five.
Carlton’s only score above 80 in the past six weeks came against bottom-placed West Coast, when they managed just 86. Nine of their last ten games at the MCG have gone under.
Melbourne have followed a similar trend. Twelve of their last thirteen night games at the ’G have also gone under the total.
We saw an absolute stinker between Richmond and Essendon in this same slot last week, and there’s every chance this one follows suit.
Same Game Multi
Kozzie Pickett is clearly the most in-form forward on either team. He’s kicked 12 in his last five games.
Adam Cerra has had 25+ in four of his last five and each of his last two at the MCG.
Value Bet
Start at 140.5 and head lower wherever you can find the markets. The average total in the last four between these teams was 133 points, and each of these teams were far better offensively in the last 3-4 years than in 2025.
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