AFL Tips – GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns – Round 19 2024

Giants vs Suns | AFL Tips

The second Expansion Cup of 2024 sees the Suns travel to Western Sydney to face the Giants still in search of their first away win of the year.

Best Bet

GWS 1-39
Margin

The Suns’ pitiful record on the road makes them impossible to back here despite the Giants’ indifferent form.

Damien Hardwick’s team have now lost 14 straight away from the Gold Coast or Darwin and even more remarkably have not covered the line in any of those 14 games.

It’s no wonder the three-time premiership coach called for them to “grow the fuck up” after their loss to the Roos at Marvel.

Confidence levels are hardly high in the Giants after an ordinary performance against the lowly Tigers last week. The orange team won by 24 points but a very accurate 17.6 saved them from an embarrassing defeat. Expected scoring had them losing by two points which would have been their seventh loss from their last ten games.

Nevertheless, GWS have dominated this match-up winning 12 of the last 15 with covers in eight of the last nine. Take them to get the win.

Insights

🛑 Gold Coast Suns Away Struggles: Gold Coast Suns have a tough time away, managing only 1 cover in the last 9 games.

⬇️ Low Scoring Gold Coast Suns Off a Win: Suns’ games are usually low-scoring after a win, with 8 out of the last 9 games going under the total.

📈 Giants Dominance vs Suns: GWS dominate this matchup, winning 12 out of the last 15 games and covering the spread in 8 out of 9 games.


Same Game Multi

GWS 1-39, T.Greene 2+ Goals, C.Ward Anytime Goal, T.Green 30+ Disposals, F.Callaghan 20+ Disposals

Toby loves playing the Suns, kicking 11 from his last three games against them while Callan Ward has been spending a lot of time forward and has two goals in each of his last four.

Tom Green has been back to his best lately, averaging 34 touches over the last five weeks, clearing the 30 mark in each.

Finn Callaghan has had 20+ in seven straight.


Value Bet

GWS 1-12
Margin

The Giants’ last three wins have come by 4, 12 and the aforementioned 24 points against the Tigers in what should have been a much closer result. Hardwick will have the Suns fired up for this and they should be very competitive.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.