Sunday of Magic Round kicks off with the biggest betting line of the weekend but don’t undersell the Titans against the table-topping Bulldogs.
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Best Bet
Canterbury may sit atop the table but got handed a solid dose of reality when they were ambushed by the Broncos last week. The Bulldogs were touched-up, three players were suspended and left their first trip away from Sydney with their tail between their legs.
So laying 12.5 points – even a team struggling as badly as the Titans – seems a little rich.
Matt Burton, Josh Curran and Sitili Tupouniua are all missing through suspension.
The key stat here is around double digit favourites off double digit losses. Favourites of 10 or more off a loss of 10 or more have covered at a clip of just 33% the last four seasons.
The Titans have been incredibly disappointing again but they have been in games against handy teams before fading late.
Teams off conceding 50 cover at 66% since 2008 so this is an obvious rebound spot for the Titans.
Gold Coast are 6-2 ATS at Suncorp while they have covered 8 of 11 getting a start of eight or more.
The line in this one is too big.
Same Game Multi
Alofiana Khan-Pereira has 46 tries in 46 games and is a ridiculous price at flip-of-the-coin odds.
Bronson Xerri has 15 tries in 26 games since joining the Bulldogs.
Value Bet
Beau Fermor is just a wholehearted player who runs hard and is always around the ball. He has 25 tries in 75 NRL games – a great return for a backrower on a bad team – including crossing the last two weeks. Great bet and huge overs.
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