West Coast host Melbourne at Optus on Saturday night in one for the diehards only.
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Best Bet
While Melbourne are always worth taking on as favourites, having failed to cover the spread in seven of eight in that position, the stronger bet here is the under.
These are the competition’s two worst offences, the Dees averaging just 66 points per game and the Eagles, 68.
Low scoring Melbourne games at night has been a great angle lately too, with 14 of 17 going under for an average of 156 points. Against teams ranked outside the top eight that drops to 145 points.
West Coast games have generally gone over when they play an opposition that can pile on a score, but that isn’t Melbourne, who are the third-worst team for points scored against bottom four teams since the start of 2024, averaging 83 points.
If they cannot kick a big score here, it’s hard to see this total clearing 160.
Same Game Multi
Bailey Fritsch loves playing the Eagles, kicking three goals in four straight against them.
Jake Waterman has kicked 2+ in six straight at Optus, and seven in his last two against the Dees.
Value Bet
There’s not much to get excited for here from a value point of view but Jake Bowey has been racking up huge numbers over the last fortnight, with 29 against the Dockers and 32 against the Tigers last week.
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