The Cavs swept the Heat and have advanced to the second round. With three potential series closeout games today, we should see the second round take shape.
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Best Bet
L.A Clippers @ Denver Nuggets (12:00pm)
The series is tied at 2-2 after an incredible finish to Game 4, with Aaron Gordon getting a put back dunk as the clock expired. This has been an exciting series and this is a must win Game 5.
Jokic has gone over 17 potential assists in each game of this series and has hit double digits in assists in 3 games. He is averaging 10.5 after his 8 assist game last start, but I’m putting it down to converting assists rather than opportunities being taken away by the Clippers.
The Nuggets need to grab Game 5 to have two bites at closing out the series. Being the underdog at home, in a tied series wont fill them with confidence if they have to head back to L.A, facing elimination.
SGM: Nuggets +1.5/Jokic Over 9.5 Assists/ Powell 15+ Points = $4.33
Next Best
Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers (8:00am)
The Bucks have got their backs firmly against the wall here and if facing elimination wasn’t bad enough, they will now lose Damian Lillard for a long time, after he tore his achilles in Game 4.
Kevin Porter Jnr should see the majority of the point guard minutes and can put up the numbers to clear this line. After a 34 PRA effort last game the 27 line on offer will entice some. He shot really well and in my opinion that may have bought him some extra playing time. Cashing on 5 of his 7 three pointers, his 23 points was a career best for a playoff game.
Whilst I can see KPJ having an impact in Game 5, I can also see the Bucks spreading the minutes to any of their other shooters that can catch fire. Giannis should have a monster game usage wise and I expect him to control the entire game for the Bucks. The Pacers cannot be underestimated anymore and would love to close this series here, at home.
SGM: Pacers Win/ Giannis 30+ Points/ Porter Jnr Under 26.5 PRA = $3.30
Value Bet
Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics (10:30am)
The Orlando Magic face elimination against the reigning champ Celtics and the books are not giving them much of a shot, at $5.80 to win.
Caldwell-Pope is a 3 and D role player for the Magic who has had an underwhelming series. His team will need him to fire if they are any shot of stealing another game off the C’s. With all of the focus on Banchero and Wagner, it can at times work in KCP’s favour. He saw a few shots go down last game, which will help his confidence after it was shattered in games 2 and 3, shooting just 1 of 12 from the field.
The good news is, he doesn’t shoot much other than triples and he is more than capable of 2. He has averaged 4 long range attempts this series and a nice open one early, will get him to keep pulling the trigger.
SGM: Caldwell-Pope 2+ Threes/ Carter Jnr. 10 + Rebounds/ White 15+ Points = $8.20
Wednesday NBA Multi
Pacers/ Celtics/ Knicks= $2.10