Parramatta can get themselves off the bottom of the ladder with a home win over the Dolphins but will not get it all their own way against a handy visiting outfit.
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Best Bet
The Eels host the Dolphins at CommBank in what is the visiting team’s first ever match at the ground and is a must-win affair for both teams.
Parramatta look short enough given they are last on the ladder. They cover at just 41% when favoured.
The Dolphins have really mixed form but have a win against the Storm under their belt and are 9-6 ATS when playing a team in the bottom five on the ladder.
While the Dolphins present as value, the best bet in the game is the over.
These two teams have met twice and both meetings have sailed over with the two matches reaching 60-plus points.
The over hits in 68.5% of Eels games at night while it hits at 61% when they are favoured. It is also 16-10 when they are off a double digit loss.
The over is 11-6 when the Dolphins are off a double digit loss.
Expect plenty of points in this one.
Same Game Multi
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has an elite tryscoring record since joining the Dolphins, scoring 37 in 45 appearances.
Herbie Farnworth will be giving Will Penisini nightmares and Farnworth has been in hot form with tries in each of his last three games.
Value Bet
Connelly Lemuelu is one of the better edge backrowers and it has netted him three tries in six games this season. Since joining the Dolphins has has 11 tries and with a few key outs he will be a major attacking weapon.
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