Last year’s Grand Finalists return to the MCG with the Pies needing a win to preserve their remote finals hopes while Brisbane need a victory to get back into the Top 4.
Best Bet
The Lions are the in-form side in the competition and are capable of at least partially avenging their defeat in last year’s Grand Final.
Yes, the Lions are coming off a defeat to the Giants last week but the loss was purely a product of goalkicking variance – 8.16 to 13.4. Expected score had them winning the game by 40.
Brisbane have been a better side on the road than at home all year, being 7-3-1 away from the Gabba and being unbeaten since the bye.
Following their loss to the Swans last week the Pies have now lost five of their last seven and the MCG has hardly been a fortress for them either, only winning six of twelve this year at the home of football, with only of those a win over a team currently in the Top 8.
The Pies did upset the Lions at the Gabba earlier in the year, but Brisbane are playing far better football now and are poised to turn the tables.
Same Game Multi
Will Ashcroft has gradually seen more midfield time and had his best game of the year against the Giants last week with 29 disposals.
Josh Daicos does his best work at the MCG and has been collecting more soft disposals off half back of late.
Value Bet
When the Lions get rolling they can really do some damage on sides and they have the potential to put a big score on the Pies vulnerable defence.
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