Plenty of Australians in action in the second-week of Wimbledon including Ajla Tomljanovic, who is great value to replicate last year’s efforts by making it through to a Quarter Final. See all our Wimbledon betting previews here.
Best Bet
Huge effort by Australian Jason Kubler to go through qualifying and advance to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon, but this is where it comes to an end.
We gave you the Taylor Fritz tip to win Wimbledon at the start of the tournament paying $91, and the American hasn’t dropped a set so far this tournament, now into $31.
Kubler accounted for Jack Sock in what was the longest match of the tournament, going for 4 hours and 15 minutes, while Fritz has only been on court for a combined total of 5 hours and 30 minutes this entire Wimbledon. The American should get past the Australian in straight sets, easily covering the -5.5 game handicap.
Next Best
In some bizarre way, this is actually quite a difficult match-up for Amanda Anisimova.
Tan absolutely dismantled Brit Katie Boulter in the third-round, purely by taking the pace off the ball, extending rallies and pure ball placement – and if Anisimova is unable to find the lines, then we could see the unforced error tally creep us as she tries to hit Tan off the court.
Despite Anisimova getting past Coco Gauff, it was fair to say that Gauff was below her best all tournament, with Anisimova still producing 40 unforced errors for the match. With Tan only having five in her third-round win, her run may not end here – the +4.5 game handicap as well as the $3.60 to win are worthy plays.
This pair meet for the first time since Wimbledon 2021 where Ajla Tomljanovic got past Alize Cornet in three sets, and I expect a similar outcome this time around.
Tomljanovic was a Quarter Finalist at Wimbledon last year, while Cornet enters the fourth round off the back of ending Iga Swiatek’s 37-match win streak – the Frenchwoman living up to her giant-killing reputation.
The last two meetings between these two have gone to three sets, while the meeting prior back in 2019 landed on 21 games, emphasising that they’ve had some close encounters. I think the Australian can win this as the underdog, but I’m more confident taking the total games over 21.5.
Value Bet
She was our value on Day 6 against Petra Kvitova and we’re sticking with Paula Badosa in the fourth round as underdog against Simona Halep.
Halep has been outstanding this Wimbledon having yet to drop a set, but I’ve got concerns around the Romanian’s recent performances against high-calibre players – of which Badosa is one. Since April 2021, Halep has a 2-6 record against top-10 opposition while Badosa on the other hand is 12-5 against top 20 opponents over the last 52 weeks.
Although Halep did win their most recent encounter on clay, I’m happy to take the $2.63 for the Spaniard to claim another scalp as an underdog.
Daily H2H Multi
Fritz / Kyrgios / De Minaur / Nadal / Rybakina = $3.13
