Canberra hosts South Sydney in the final match of Round 21 and the Raiders look severe unders given their recent history.
Best Bet
This is 100% a play against the Raiders team rather than any great faith in the Rabbitohs winning on the road.
Canberra collected the win last week against New Zealand on the back of Jamal Fogarty’s return but it is noteworthy that the Raiders didn’t cover.
They are in a spot this week in which they almost never cover too.
Canberra are 12-28 ATS against teams outside the Top 8. They are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 at home. They are 14-31 ATS off a win. They are 14-33 ATS as a favourite.
They are diabolical numbers and the Raiders just cannot be trusted.
Souths are 22-13 ATS intestate and 8-3 ATS off scoring 42-plus. The Bunnies look an outstanding bet getting a big start against the Raiders.
Insights
🏠 Canberra at Home: The Canberra Raiders struggle to cover the spread at home, with only 1 cover in the last 7 games and none in the last 4. 🏠
🏆 Canberra Off Win: When coming off a win, Canberra’s games tend to be high-scoring, with 12 out of the last 15 games going over the total.
⬇️ Canberra Against Bottom 9 Teams: Canberra has struggled against bottom 9 teams, not covering the spread in the last 4 games. ⬇️
Same Game Multi
Jacob Gagai has nine tries in his 10 NRL matches,
Cody Walker has been in good tryscoring form with six tries in his last seven matches.
Value Bet
Hulking Rabbitohs lock forward Keaon Koloamatangi has been outstanding since moving to the middle and that has resulted in his tryscoring going up. In seven games at lock forward, he has four tries. Canberra can be found out through the middle. Great bet.
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