AFL Tips - Western Bulldogs v Collingwood

Two sides desperate to keep pace with the top ten meet at Marvel Stadium on Saturday in a match that has low-scoring slog written all over it.

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Best Bet

Under 176.5 Points

Total Points

Bet Now

$1.90

The under looks a great bet here and the history strongly supports it.

Seven of the last nine games between these teams have gone under the total, with an average of just 147.5 points. Only one of those nine has topped this total, a 182-point game in Round 12 of 2024.

Collingwood appear to have accepted their limitations and are actively turning games into slogs. Their games are averaging just 163.8 points this season, ranked last in the competition.

The Dogs have followed a similar trend since their injury crisis hit, with four of their last five going under for an average of 173.4, and only three of their last ten at Marvel going over.

Back the Pies to turn this into another dour contest.

Same Game Multi

Under 176.5 Points, N.Daicos 30+ Disposals, B.Dale 30+ Disposals, D.McStay Anytime Goal

Bet Now

$5.50

The Dogs do not tag, so Nick Daicos should run free and has had 30 or more disposals in four straight at Marvel.

Bailey Dale could go seriously big here as the Pies allow plenty of touches to half-backs, and he’ is averaging well at this ground and he’s also had 30+ in four straight here.

The Dogs continue to struggle against key forwards and Dan McStay should be good for a snag.

Value Bet

Collingwood 1-24

Winning Margin

Bet Now

$4.00

Surprising to see the Pies as double-digit outsiders here. They have managed Darcy Moore’s absence well for some time and while the last month has been tough against Hawthorn, Geelong and Sydney before West Coast last week. They have won two of their last three against the Dogs by under 20 points.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2026 AFL season.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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