Two underperforming sides in GWS and Brisbane meet at ENGIE Stadium on Sunday afternoon both in need of a win.
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Best Bet
As long as the showers stay away, the over looks the play here.
Seven of Brisbane’s last eight games have gone over the total, with their last five averaging 202.4 points. Their defence has been struggling, conceding 92.8 points per game over that stretch, the seventh worst in the competition. The loss of Ryan Lester to injury will not help this week.
GWS have been unable to get their season rolling but one consistent thread has been high-scoring home games, with their average total at home sitting at 194 points this year. Seven of the last ten between these teams have gone over, including each of the last two clearing 200.
With both teams conceding goals freely, take the over and hope the showers stay away.
Same Game Multi
GWS continue to struggle against key forwards without Sam Taylor. Logan Morris has kicked two or more goals in nine of ten games when Brisbane are favourites.
Jake Stringer should benefit from a lesser match-up with Lester out, and has kicked two or more in three of his last four.
Darcy Wilmot has had 30 or more disposals in two of his last three games and took an equal team-high five kick-ins last week.
Value Bet
Wilmot had 30 last week with Dayne Zorko missing, adding to a 32 and 27 to his last five. He is taking plenty of kick-ins and GWS are a reasonable match-up for half-backs to accumulate.
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