AFL Tips - Port Adelaide v Carlton

Carlton look for back-to-back wins under interim coach Josh Fraser when they head to Adelaide Oval on Saturday night.

Best Bet

Under 168.5 Points

Total Points

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$1.90

A tricky game to read but the under trend in Port games is too strong to ignore.

Port’s last eight games have all gone under the total, averaging just 158.5 points, including 159 at home. Despite losing four of their last five, those losses have come against quality opposition and the low-scoring profile has largely remained consistent throughout.

Carlton looked much stingier under Josh Fraser last week, conceding just 62 points to the Dogs in a total of 136. The last ten games between these teams have averaged exactly 168 points, right on the line, but both sides have been far less prolific offensively in 2026 than in previous seasons.

With injuries affecting both sides, the under looks the strongest play.

Same Game Multi

Port Adelaide Win, Under 168.5 Points, M.Georgiades 2+ Goals, Z.Butters 25+ Disposals

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$3.60

This is the easiest game Port have had in some time and the new coach bounce rarely lasts into a second week.

Without Jacob Weitering, Mitch Georgiades should be good for two or more goals, averaging 2.8 from his last five games.

Zac Butters has had 30 or more disposals in nine straight games. Take 25 for a SGM boost.

Value Bet

B.Ainsworth 2+ Goals

Player Goals

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$3.00

Ben Ainsworth has clicked into gear at Carlton, kicking two or more goals in three of his last five games. Port are also missing Lachie Jones from their defence, which opens up opportunities for a forward who has been finding his feet at his new club.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.