AFL Tips - Sydney v Richmond

The market predicts a bloodbath at the SCG on Saturday afternoon when second meets second last, but the Tigers may have been underestimated.

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Best Bet

Richmond +58.5

Line

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$1.90

This won’t be an easy watch but take the Tigers with the massive start.

Despite having an entire starting side on the injury list, the market has underestimated Richmond lately. They have gone 2-2 last month and covered the line in all four games. This is a big step up in class but they represented themselves reasonably well against decent teams in Adelaide and St Kilda in recent weeks.

Sydney have slipped from their elite form earlier in the year. There is no shame in losing to Geelong at Geelong, but it has become their fourth straight game without covering the line. Opposition teams have found ways to shut down their corridor handball game lately and it has reduced their offensive output considerably. They also lose Grundy, Papley, Mills and Rosas this week, which evens up the injury list between these teams slightly.

Wouldn’t steam in but the line looks too big. Take Richmond.

Same Game Multi

Richmond +58.5, J.McInerney 20+ Disposals, L.McDonald 2+ Goals, C.Warner Anytime Goal

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$6.50

Justin McInerney has had 25 or more disposals in four straight games at the SCG.

Logan McDonald has kicked two or more goals in four straight games, benefitting from drawing the third defender.

Chad Warner has kicked a goal in seven straight games when Sydney are favourites.

Value Bet

J.McInerney 30+ Disposals

Player Disposals

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$3.20

McInerney is continuing a breakout year that has him in All-Australian contention. He has particularly enjoyed being at home lately, recording 31, 29 and 26 in his last three games at the SCG.

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Tips Writer

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.

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