AFL Tips - St Kilda v Hawthorn

St Kilda host Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night in a match where the line looks a touch generous for the visitors.

Best Bet

St Kilda +17.5

Line

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$1.90

The line looks a touch too long and the Saints are the play here.

Hawthorn battled hard to get past Adelaide at Launceston last week and have failed to cover in five of their last six games. They get handy ins with Will Day and Jack Gunston returning, though Day is likely to be nursed through his first game of 2026 and Gunston’s record against this opponent is not inspiring, kicking just five goals from his last seven games against the Saints.

St Kilda are a completely middle-of-the-road side this year and are missing important players in Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, Mitch Owens and Jack Higgins. But their midfielders like Max Hall and Hugo Garcia have been performing well and should win enough of the ball to keep this competitive.

Back the Saints to remain within this line.

Same Game Multi

St Kilda +17.5, K.Amon 25+ Disposals, M.Hall 20+ Disposals, N.Watson 2+ Goals

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$TBC

See a St Kilda game and back the half-backs to fill up. Karl Amon is averaging 27.6 disposals in his last five games and this is a great match-up for him.

Max Hall had 23, 23, 26 and 25 last month, benefitting from Wanganeen-Milera’s absence.

Nick Watson has kicked two goals in each of his two games against St Kilda.

Value Bet

K.Amon 30+ Disposals

Player Disposals

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$3.30

Amon has hit the 30-disposal mark in three of his last five games and St Kilda are the second best match-up for half-backs in the competition. This is worth taking for 35 as well. A great bet.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.