AFL Tips – Geelong v North Melbourne – Round 16 2022

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Records could be broken on Saturday night in Geelong.

Best Bet

Geelong -65.5

This will be an almighty beatdown.

North suffered the ignominy of becoming the first team in VFL/AFL history to lose ten straight games by 40+ points last week. Some, including myself, thought they would be competitive against a struggling Adelaide outfit. Instead they lost by 57 points.

The Roos have covered the spread a pathetic 2 of 14 times this year. Four of their losses have been by more than the 65 point start on offer in this game.

Geelong cover at 64% when favoured by six or more goals at home over the last decade. They will dismantle North on Saturday.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -65.5, J.Cameron & T.Hawkins 3+ Goals, T.Stengle 2+ Goals, J.Selwood 20+ Disposals

David Noble threw Ben McKay forward last week in a desperate attempt to generate some scoring. Adelaide’s two keys forwards Taylor Walker and Darcy Fogarty responded with 10 goals between them.

If the Roos keep McKay forward this week, Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins will feast. Even if he goes back, they probably will anyway.

Tyson Stengle has been one of the recruits of the year. He’s kicked 3 goals in four of his last five games.

Joel Selwood has had 20+ touches in 12 of 14 games.

Value Bet

Geelong 100+

North already suffered one 100+ defeat away to Brisbane back in Round 3 and another is absolutely on the cards here. They scored just 14 points – the club’s lowest ever score – in their second most recent trip down the highway in 2019. Anything is possible in this game.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.