AFL Tips – North Melbourne v Adelaide – Round 15 2022

The under looks the play in freezing Hobart on Sunday.

Best Bet

Under 158.5 Points
Total Points

There will be few winners in this awful match-up, especially those who willingly sit through it, with goals set to be few and far between.

Each of North’s last four games have gone under as have three of Adelaide’s last four. Four of the last five head-to-head have also gone under.

The Roos have been consistently poor in attack, remarkably scoring between 46 and 53 points in each game over the last five weeks. The Crows are only averaging 70 points over the same time period, boosted by one 88-point return against West Coast.

Scoring will be even more difficult given the freezing, blustery conditions expected in Hobart where the mercury will struggle to reach double figures.

This total looks far too high for two sides who have demonstrated limited ability to hit the scoreboard.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.


Same Game Multi

Under 158.5 Points, R.Laird 30+ Disposals, M.Crouch 25+ Disposals, D.Fogarty Anytime Goal

We cashed in on some consistent Crows in a $7.17 same game multi win last week and we’ll return to the well here.

Rory Laird has racked up 30+ touches in nine of his eleven matches this year while Matt Crouch has had 25+ disposals in nine of his ten games and 24 in the other.

Darcy Fogarty has kicked eight goals in his last three games.


Value Bet

North Melbourne +19.5 / Under 158.5 Points
Double

Much was made of Adelaide’s bright start to 2022 but they are now finding their rightful place among the AFL’s worst teams.

The Crows have lost six of the last seven by an average margin of 40 points. They’ve only covered the spread once in that period as well.

North will field their best team in months with Ben McKay, Cam Zurhaar and Tarryn Thomas all returning to the line-up. They also have a terrific record in Tassie, clearing the line in 20 of 29 games at Blundstone.

In what should be a low-scoring game, a 20-point start looks generous for the Shinboners.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.