Tennis Tips - US Open Men's Semi Finals Tips

Men’s Semi Finals Day, and we’re guaranteed to see an American in the US Open Final – we just need to figure out which one it will be.

Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov

Alexander Zverev -5.5

Game Handicap

Bet Now

$1.90

This is a matchup right in Alexander Zverev’s hitting zone.

The German is 29-3 against players ranked between 10 and 50 this year, and on hard court that becomes 14-1 with a coverage rate of 73.3%.

At majors it’s even stronger. He’s 12-0 at majors this year against this ranking bracket, with a coverage rate of 83.3%.

Although the hard court record between this pair is 5-3 in Zverev’s favour, the German has won four of their last five dating back to 2021.

Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

Under 40.5

Total Games

Bet Now

$1.83

Understand they’re both big hitters with big serves, but the total games line suggests this will be going to five sets and I’m not entirely sure that will be the case.

Of the top-50 players on hard courts this year, Ben Shelton is surprisingly ranked 23rd for tie-breakers per set at 21.8%. Even more surprising, Tiafoe is 43rd at 11.7% – therefore, there’s every chance if this is a four-setter we don’t see any sets going to seven.

Tiafoe did the hard work against Medvedev to set himself up for a Semi Final run this US Open, but outside of that I don’t think he’s been as good as previous US Open Semi Final runs. Shelton on the other hand has played some really tough opposition including Carlos Alcaraz, winning that in a classic.

He leads the head-to-head 3-1 over Tiafoe, and the American should be winning this if he can maintain the level he’s demonstrated this US Open. Shelton in four.

Multi

Zverev / Shelton = $1.60

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.