Tennis Tips - US Open Day 5 Tips

Alex De Minaur features on Day 5 of the US Open, but could the Australian have his hands full against a tricky Dutchman?

Best Bet

Auger Aliassime vs Khachanov Over 38.5

Total Games

Bet Now

$1.80

Khachanov has had a poor year, with the Russian’s ranking drifting to 50, but he does perform at majors and is a Semi Finalist here.

The Russian has also played well against Felix Auger-Aliassime over their career, with a 2-2 record, with all four matches going over the total games.

All three matches Khachanov has played in majors this year against top-50 opposition has gone over the total games, and it’s a similar story for FAA with four of his five completed matches against top-50 in majors this year going over.

Next Best

Botic Van De Zandschulp +6.5

Game Handicap

Bet Now

$1.83

Super dangerous for Alex De Minaur. Botic Van De Zandschulp has proven that he’s a giant killer at the US Open when he beat Alcaraz, and I think the Dutchman can do the same against the Australian.

When they met in Rotterdam at the start of the year, De Minaur got up but it went to 7-5 in the deciding set, and he’s been in poor form lately. The Australian is 10-6 against top-75 opposition on hard this year, with a game handicap coverage of just 37.5%.

BVDZ is 4-6 against top-35 opposition on hard this year, with a coverage rate of 70%. Should cover – could win.

Mirra Andreeva -5.5

Game Handicap

Bet Now

$1.70

I think this will be regulation for Andreeva.

The Russian is 9-0 against players ranked between 45 and 150 on hard this year, and has covered in eight of those nine matches. In those nine matches, she has won a set either 6-0 or 6-1 in eight of them.

She faces Eva Lys – with the German 0-6 against the top-40 this year, covering the game handicap just once from those matches.

Nikola Bartunkova -3.5

Game Handicap

Bet Now

$1.80

The young Czech is 33-19 on the year, moving to number 34 in the world, and has played her best tennis on hard courts with a 20-10 record.

She faces veteran Tatjana Maria, who has always been more of a grass courter. Maria is 0-6 on hard this year against top-70 opposition, covering just twice in those matches.

The German accounted for a horribly out of form Ostapenko in the first-round – this will be more difficult.

Paula Badoso +5.5

Game Handicap

Bet Now

$1.83

Paula Badosa hasn’t played much tennis of late, but her record against Coco Gauff is seriously impressive, and it won’t be easy for the American.

The Spaniard leads the head-to-head 5-3, including beating her in the Wimbledon lead-in when she was ranked 142 in the world.

Gauff has covered this game handicap once against Badosa from their eight meetings, back in 2022, and I think the Spaniard can push this to three sets.

Value Bet

Jan-Lennard Struff

Match

Bet Now

$2.37

Francisco Cerundolo is in a serious rut at the moment, and although he won his first round match he played an opponent that hadn’t played a match since February.

Recently, Cerundolo publicised, “I can’t play. I swear I want to go back to Buenos Aires. I don’t want to play anymore. I hate this swing with all my heart.”

Winning just two of his last six matches, I think the experience and serve of Struff could cause some issues for the Argentine.

Multi

Zheng (M) / Tien (M) / Blockx (M) / Sakkari (W) / Bartunkova (W) / Mertens (W) = $5.90

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.