Melbourne are playing at an incredible level and the upside in backing them at the big minus is huge.
Best Bet
Melbourne -22.5 ($1.90)
It is absolute madness to bet against Melbourne when they have been heavily favoured over the last few years. They have been utterly relentless and combined with their ability to score points en masse – they have scored 104 in their last 120 minutes – then any inferior team is vulnerable to a blowout. Slow teams like the Dragons are particularly vulnerable.
The Storm have won 14 straight against the Dragons in Melbourne but it is the Storm’s form over the last two years that is most telling. They have covered 10 of 12 off winning by more than 30 and are 26-11 against the spread off scoring 30-plus. Melbourne have covered 9 of 11 at AAMI. When favoured by more than 18 over the last three years, they have covered 11 of 17.
The Storm can be backed and backed with complete confidence.
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Same Game Multi
Xavier Coates Try/Ryan Papenhuyzen Try/Nick Meaney Try/Justin Olam Try ($7.25)
Xavier Coates has seven tries the last two weeks and has barely raised a sweat.
Papenhuyzen let a nation down last week, killing every SGM by not scoring in a 48-point win, but had scored 10 tries in six games prior.
Meaney has scored five tries in seven games since joining the Storm.
Olam has scored in four straight weeks.
Value Bet
Harry Grant Try ($3.50)
Harry Grant probably takes more darts at the line than any other hooker in the competition. It is easy to understand why with the bullocking rake scoring three tries in five games this year and 11 in 37 over his career. He plays behind a dominant pack and will get his chances.
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