Parramatta are heavily favoured on the road against Newcastle but betting looks all wrong in this one.
Best Bet
Newcastle +8.5 ($1.80)
There is absolutely zero respect being given to the Knights this week when they host the Eels with Newcastle getting 8.5 points on home turf.
Parramatta have dominated Newcastle of late but the Eels do come off a brutal loss to the Tigers that exposed some deficiencies, namely a frailty without both star props and a lack of pace out wide.
Home underdogs of more than 8 cover at a clip of 64% so the Knights are the obvious natural starting point. With the Eels unlikely to have Reagan Campbell-Gillard and the Eels 5-8 against the spread off conceding more than 13, Newcastle are a confident bet here.
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Same Game Multi
Enari Tuala Try/Dane Gagai Try ($8.00)
Tuala has scored 16 tries in 31 games for the Knights and is their top tryscoring threat
Gagai has three tries in his first six games since rejoining the club.
This SGM hit last week.
Value Bet
Newcastle 13+ ($9.00)
The Knights have a pack that can outmuscle the Eels and that is always a worry for Parramatta. Newcaste blowouts tend to come on afternoon games in front of a big home crowd.
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