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The total in this game between two very poor teams is too high. It opened 40.5 and has trended down to 40. It would not surprise if this starts in the 30s.
Both of these teams have struggled to score this year. The Bears have posted scores of 19 and 10 in games that have totalled 29 and 37. The Texans have score 20 and 9 in games that have totalled 40 and 25.
The under has hit in seven of eight Texans games on the road and in 19 of 28 when Houston are off scoring less than 15.
The under is 21-7 when Chicago play at Soldier Field and is 25-11 when they are off a loss.
The total in this game is too high.
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Stefon Diggs leads the NFL in touchdowns this year with four and has become matchup-proof.
Justin Jefferson is a beast and the Lions lack the secondary to be able to contain him as Philadelphia did last week.
Aaron Jones has 12 touchdowns in his last 18 games and the Packers are relying on him significantly more this season.
Washington look plenty of value in their divisional matchup against Philadelphia. Underdogs off a loss have an excellent cover record in Week 3 and that translates to a positive ROI in head-to-head betting. The Eagles have covered just one of six division games and the Commanders have covered five of six off a loss. There is value with the Commanders here.