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Memphis head to Minnesota for Game 3 with the series tied 1 apiece – expect a high usage game from star point guard Ja Morant with the Grizzlies desperate to record a road win.
Best Bet
Grizzlies @ Timberwolves (9:30am)
Ja Morant Over 7.5 Assists ($1.72)
Producing 8 and 10 assists in Games 1 and 2, we expected Ja Morant’s assist line to be closer to 9.5 than the 7.5 we get for Game 3.
Morant averages 8.1 assist per game from his last seven games – per 36 minutes this averages moves to 9.2 per game, and we expect him to play 36+ minutes when on the road in Minnesota. From those seven games, Morant covered the line of 7.5 assists in six of them.
Of the teams in the post-season, the Timberwolves are the second-easiest team over the last month for assist to produce assists against at 11% above average emphasised by Ja having 10 in slightly under 30 minutes in Game 2.
8+ is the best of the day, 10+ at $2.88 is great value while 12+ paying $6 is also worth a small stake.
Same Game Multi
Anthony Edwards 20+ Points
Jaren Jackson Jr 15+ Points
Ja Morant 8+ Assists
$3.50
Next Best
Mavericks @ Jazz (11:00am)
Rudy Gobert Over 1.5 Blocks ($1.71)
The Frenchman is doing very little on the offensive end this series, but it’s hard to fault his defensive presence.
Gobert averages 2.5 blocks this series covering the 1.5 line in both contests and has recorded 2+ blocks in six of his last nine games.
Averaging 2.1 blocks per game this season, Gobert’s defensive record against the Mavericks is exceptional – dating back to 2017, Gobert averages 2.5 blocks against Dallas which includes covering the 1.5 blocks line in 17 of those 22 games. In more recent form, Gobert has recorded 2+ blocks against the Mavericks in his last eight games dating back to January 2021.
Another block party for Gobert is on the cards back on Utah’s home court for Game 3.
Same Game Multi
Donovan Mitchell 25+ Points
Bojan Bogdanovic 20+ Points
Rudy Gobert 14+ Rebounds
$3.10
Value Bet
Warriors @ Nuggets (12:00pm)
Nikola Jokic 30+ Points / Denver H2H ($3.60)
If Denver are to win against the red-hot Golden State team, it will be due to Nikola Jokic posting 30+ points – so instead of taking the $2.12 head to head, take the player performance double at $3.60.
Despite the Warriors recording two comfortable wins on their home floor, Game 3 is at Mile High where the Nuggets have beaten Golden State on both occasions this season.
Michael Malone has plenty of playoff experience with this Denver team, with an upset series win against Portland last season to go with two come from behind series win in 2019-20 from 3-1 down against Utah and the Clippers. Expect Denver to make the relevant adjustments in a must-win Game 3 to counter the new-look death line-up of the Warriors.
Same Game Multi
Nuggets +2.5
Nikola Jokic 30+ Points
Klay Thompson 20+ Points
$4.00
Daily Multi
Grizzlies H2H / Jazz H2H / Nuggets +2.5 = $4.40
