AFL Tips – Western Bulldogs v Geelong – Round 12 2022

Expect a high scoring clash on Friday night.

Best Bet

Over 167.5

Both of these sides have plenty of points in them and a high scoring game is to be expected under the dome at Marvel Stadium.

The Dogs have started to find their form offensively. They have scored 99 or more in four of their last five games.

While Geelong has been strong defensively at GMHBA, it is a different story away from their home ground. Away from GMHBA, they concede an average of 78 points per game, compared to 60 at their uniquely shaped home ground.

Importantly, both sides have defensive vulnerabilities that their opposition can exploit. Against the better stoppage teams – which the Dogs certainly are – the Cats have been scored against heavily from clearance.

The Dogs backline lacks quality in the key posts and may struggle to contain the dual threat of Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins. Luke Beveridge’s side has conceded 51 goals to key forwards this season, ranked 14th in the league.

A repeat of Round 2 where Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay combined for nine goals against the Dogs, could be in the offing.

The total in this game is lower than the average Marvel games this season (172.2), the average Dogs game at Marvel (171.4) and the sole Cats game at Marvel (170).

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Over 167.5, J. Cameron, T. Hawkins, A. Naughton 2+ Goals

The likely scenario for this game is a high scoring clash with all they key forwards hitting the scoreboard. Naughton will get the tough assignment against Mark Blicavs but he has been in superb form of late, kicking three or more in every game over the last month.

Value Bet

Jeremy Cameron & Tom Hawkins
5+ Goals

Whichever of the key Cats forwards gets the Ryan Gardner match up should be in for a big night. Happy to play both Jezza and Tomahawk for a big bag.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.