The crisis-hit Swans host North Melbourne at the SCG on Sunday afternoon to close out their home and away season, with Sydney locked into second and the Kangaroos looking to end a long losing streak against the red and white.
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Best Bet
Have to throw all history and stats out the window here.
It is hard to know how Sydney will respond to their week from hell. Riley Bice, Nick Blakey, Isaac Heeney, James Jordon and Chad Warner have all been stood down by the Club for the rest of the season following an alleged off-field incident, costing the Swans three of their best five players. There is some chance it galvanises those remaining, however.
Looking toward the total is probably the best play.
Final round games involving one eliminated team average 13 more points than usual.
North have been kicking plenty of goals over the last fortnight, scoring 110 and 100, but they have been conceding plenty too. A win here would give them 10 wins in a season for the first time since 2019.
Sydney have nothing to play for but pride, locked in to second. Dean Cox may let his team play instinctive footy after a brutal week, with James Rowbottom a chance to return from a fractured hand.
These teams combined for 202 points at Marvel back in Round 9. Back a shootout.
Same Game Multi
Jack Darling is not slowing down, having kicked two or more in five of his last seven, and the Swans key defensive stocks are thin since the Will Edwards injury.
Paul Curtis managed only one goal last week, but had kicked 13 goals in the previous six games.
Finn O’Sullivan should benefit from the Sheezel absence, coming off 25 and set to get more centre bounce attendances this week.
Value Bet
North give up more goals to opposition ruckmen than any other team, including two to Mitch Edwards last week, who had never previously kicked a goal in his career. Grundy doesn’t kick many snags but this has been a profitable strategy all year.
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