St Kilda close out their season at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night against Gold Coast, with Brad Hill bringing up his 300th game and Dougal Howard playing his 100th and final match for the Saints.
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Best Bet
Just impossible to back the Suns, especially in the last round of a disappointing season.
Gold Coast have won just one of their last 12 matches and have failed to cover the line in 12 of 13.
After breaking their losing streak against GWS two weeks back they responded with a 42 point loss to local rivals Brisbane. This is a team who have given up on 2026.
They are also 2-8 away from the Gold Coast and Darwin this season, and a win here could actually cost them a bonus early draft pick under the league’s new rules.
They also lose Christian Petracca, along with Wil Powell and Sam Collins, all three through injury.
The Saints have been inconsistent too but are generally reliable against bad teams, covering the line in six of their last seven against bottom six sides and winning all seven by an average of 48 points.
They are still missing Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and lose the out of form Jack Higgins, but regain Liam Ryan and Dougal Howard for his final AFL match.
Without much to play for, the added motivation of Howard’s last game and Brad Hill’s 300th should be enough to see them cover.
Same Game Multi
Liam Ryan performed brilliantly the last time Jack Higgins was out, allowing him to play closer to goal as a pseudo full forward.
The Saints have been one of the best opponents for half backs all year, and John Noble had 31 and 27 in his last two against them.
Jack Macrae is coming off 32 last week and remains one of the great ball pigs on his day.
Value Bet
Liam Ryan really enjoyed playing without Jack Higgins earlier in the season, kicking bags of five and six in the two games without his fellow small forward. If the Suns throw in the towel he could have another monster game.
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