Essendon host Sydney at the MCG on Sunday. with the Swans one win away from locking in a top two finish and a pair of home finals.
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Best Bet
This is going to be a bloodbath.
The Bombers have failed to cover in six of seven against top eight teams, at an average losing margin of 68 points.
Their last four defeats against top eight opposition came by 67, 72, 93 and 90 points.
Sydney come off a 97 point win over Port and can be savage on their day, also recording a 114 point win over Richmond and 128 point win over West Coast earlier in the year.
Essendon had been a team giving Sydney some headaches in recent years, with the Swans only covering the line in three of the last 10 meetings, but these Bombers are on their own tier of terrible. They are averaging just 53 points a game across their last six.
The Swans regain Brodie Grundy and Dane Rampe, while the Bombers lose their best inside mid in Sam Durham.
Triple figures is on the cards.
Same Game Multi
Essendon concede more disposals than any side in the competition.
Gulden is back to his hard running best, having had 31, 34 and 39 in his last three games.
Chad Warner loves playing Essendon and has had 25 or more in six straight against them.
Billy Cootee has kicked two goals in three straight games, while Warner has kicked five in his last two.
Value Bet
As mentioned, Cootee has been a great addition to the Swans small forward mix, kicking two in each of his last three games. He is yet to kick three in his seven game career, but he won’t get a better opponent than this to bring up a treble, against the side he represented in the VFL too.
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