Essendon and Port Adelaide close out their seasons at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, with the Bombers able to leapfrog Richmond and avoid the wooden spoon with a win, and the Power trying to end a six game losing streak.
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Best Bet
This could be the worst game of the year.
Port have a missing players list as long as your arm and have lost three of their last four by 59 points or more. Jason Horne-Francis this week joins Zak Butters, Aliir Aliir and Conor Rozee among the Power absentees.
Essendon have lost six of seven, all of those defeats by 36 points or more and five by 67 points or more.
Steer well clear of head to head or line betting is the tip, and bank on a final game shootout.
These teams combined for 203 points back in Round 2, and final round games that are dead rubbers have averaged 13 points more since 2013.
Port have completely lost the ability to defend, giving up 126 points or more in three of their last four. They are conceding 115 a game across their last six, having ranked among the competition’s better defensive sides only six weeks ago.
Essendon haven’t defended all year.
The over is about the only way to play this and hope it’s an exciting game.
Same Game Multi
These two teams are ranked in the bottom four for conceding goals to key forwards over the last 10 games, so expect the key forwards to do some damage.
Joe Richards has stepped up in Port’s midfield since the Butters injury, with 31 and 29 in his last two outings.
Ollie Wines is coming off 31 and has had 25 or more in five of seven against Essendon.
Value Bet
There is real value in not watching this game, but if you must, Richards has had 31 and 29 in his last two outings and this is the best match up for inside mids in 2026, with them averaging three disposals above average. Good bet.
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