AFL Tips – St Kilda v Fremantle – Round 17 2022

Saints vs Fremantle - Expert AFL Tips

These two sides played a low-scoring grind earlier in the year and another looks likely on Saturday night at Marvel.

Best Bet

Under 157.5 Points
Total Points

The under looks the strongest play here with both teams very strong defensive outfits.

Fremantle are the league’s second best defensive team and St Kilda fifth, conceding 63 and 70 points on average respectively.

A combined 19 of 30 Saints and Dockers games have gone under in 2022, increasing to 11 of 15 not played during the daytime. Head-to-head leans under too with six of the last nine falling short of the total.

While three of Freo’s last four games have gone over, two of those games were against Brisbane and Hawthorn, who are second and third for total points in their games.

And contrary to popular belief, Marvel is only a middling ground for scoring, with 54% of games going over in 2022.

These two teams combined for just 130 points in Round 2 and another low-scoring game is on the cards here.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Under 158.5 Points, A.Brayshaw, S.Ross & J.Sinclair 25+ Disposals

If you’re willing to bet on which St Kilda team will show up on Saturday night you’re a braver punter than me. The Saints were comfortable winners over Carlton last week but kicked 32 points against Sydney the week prior and lost to Essendon the week before that. Very happy to steer clear of head-to-head betting here.

Andrew Brayshaw has had 25+ touches in each game this year, Seb Ross has in five straight and Jack Sinclair has in seven of his last eight.

Value Bet

Lachie Schultz
3+ Goals

Not a whole lot of value around this game but Freo’s Lachie Schultz looks worth a throw for a few snags. The Saints have contained talls well lately, only conceding three goals combined to McKay and Curnow last week, but struggled to contain the smalls.

Schultz has kicked multiple goals in three of his last five games and booted 3+ in three games this year.

Avatar photo
Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.