AFL Tips – Melbourne v Richmond – Round 6 2022

The defending premiers should cover again.

Best Bet

Melbourne -25.5 ($1.90)

Melbourne broke their hoodoo against Richmond in this game last year and look primed to maintain their dominance.

The Dees have started their premiership defence in blistering form, winning all five games and covering in four of them.

While the star power in the middle is well known, it all starts in defence for the Demons. They haven’t conceded more than 71 points for the whole year.

Richmond have been inconsistent this season due to losing the midfield battle. They average 46 fewer disposals each week than their opponents and are in the bottom third of the competition for key metrics including clearance differential and inside 50 differential.

Not only will the Dees dominate the midfield, their stingy defence won’t allow the Tigers forward line to take advantage when they do get chances.

This has the makings of another big win for the Demons.

Same Game Multi

Melbourne -25.5 /J. Harmes 20+ Disposals / J.Short 25+ Disposals / C. Oliver 30+ Disposals ($5.00)

Richmond concedes possessions at such a high rate that Harmes and Oliver can be confidently backed to clear their numbers, while Short has been excellent for Richmond this season and leads the league in kicks.

Value Bet

Melbourne 60+ Margin ($6.00)

This is a bad matchup for Richmond and with the Dees in red hot form, a blowout would not surprise.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.