AFL Tips – Melbourne v Port Adelaide – Round 4 2022

Things don’t get easier for Port after a 0-3 start.

Best Bet

Melbourne -15.5 ($1.90)

Melbourne have an outstanding record at Adelaide Oval and can continue their excellent start to the season against a winless Port Adelaide. 

The Demons entered the corresponding clash in Round 17 last year as outsiders against Port, as the Dees were experiencing a form slump having dropped their previous two. 

While Port were competitive in terms of inside 50 count and contested possessions, the big problem the Power had was converting on the scoreboard. Melbourne’s suffocating defence simply had too many answers. 

The Dees are only giving up 70 points per game in 2022, and while they continue to have lapses in their games they now have the firepower to get themselves out of trouble when they need to. Jake Lever returning will only improve their defence. 

Melbourne will also enjoy returning to a ground where they have enjoyed plenty of success, having won eight and covered ten times from twelve appearances. 

The continued absence of Robbie Gray and Xavier Duursma will only hurt the Power’s chances.

Same Game Multi

Melbourne -15.5 / Under 168.5 / Clayton Oliver 30+ Disposals ($4.50)

Under is a strong lean with games between these two sides having gone under at 83% in the last decade, and 75% of Port night games at Adelaide Oval going under. Clayton Oliver is simply unstoppable at present.

Value Bet

Sam Weideman 3+ Goals ($4.33)

The “Weed” was in tremendous form last week grabbing marks from anywhere and with better kicking could easily have had a big bag. He should get plenty of opportunities again.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.