Fremantle make a rare trip to the MCG on Saturday afternoon to face a Melbourne side still fighting for a top four spot.
Best Bet
The Dockers have the better of this match-up and should cover.
Fremantle have won and covered in four of the last five against Melbourne, and the most recent was a rout. They put 118 on the Demons in Round 2 and won by 48.
They have also picked off good sides on the road this year, beating Brisbane, the Bulldogs and Adelaide on their home decks.
Melbourne’s 9-1 run at the MCG ended against Geelong two weeks ago in a shootout, which is the more relevant read on their home form than the record itself.
Daniel Turner and Kade Chandler are good ins for the Demons. Freo lose Alex Pearce but regain Brennan Cox.
The Dockers have looked a class above the rest of the competition for most of the year and they should be too good here.
Same Game Multi
Melbourne games have been shootouts at the MCG all year, averaging 190 points. Fremantle games have been lower scoring, but the Dees only know how to play one way, which should mean plenty of goals.
Melbourne have been vulnerable against small forwards all year. Isaiah Dudley has kicked a goal in eight straight on the road while Shai Bolton is averaging a goal a game over the last five.
Value Bet
Patrick Voss seems to really enjoy playing at the home of football, kicking 11 goals across his two games at the ground.
The Prancing Pony is due a big game and he will find himself against Melbourne’s third choice defender with Amiss and Treacy in brilliant form.
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