AFL Tips – Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn

Hawthorn make a rare trip to the Gabba on Friday night to face a Brisbane side desperate to put last week behind them.

Best Bet

Brisbane Lions 1-39

Winning Margin

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$2.35

Take the Lions to bounce back, but not by a big margin.

Brisbane were horrific last week and still have won and covered in each of the last three against Hawthorn.

The Hawks have remarkably only played at the Gabba once since 2019, so there is no familiarity with the venue.

The Lions finished last week with one fit player on the bench, but Ryan Lester, Darcy Gardiner and Dayne Zorko are all set to play, which solidifies their defence considerably. Logan Morris also remains a chance to play.

Hawthorn have been great lately but have benefited from a soft draw, with each of their last six wins coming against sides ranked 10th or below. Against the current top six they are 3-3 and 0-6 against the line.

It is hard to see a defensively strong Hawks outfit getting blown out, but the Lions are the play.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane Lions, C.Cameron 2+ Goals, W.Ashcroft 30+ Disposals, W.Ashcroft Anytime Goal

Same Game Multi

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$6.25

Will Ashcroft should continue his rampage. He has had 30 or more disposals in seven straight and kicked seven goals across his last four games.

Charlie Cameron has kicked two or more in 14 of his last 15 games.

Value Bet

D.Zorko 35+ Disposals

Player Disposals

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$7.00

Zorko is worth taking on at this price.

His disposal numbers spiked in his third match back before he was rested last week, racking up 34 against Port Adelaide.

The Hawks are a good match-up for half-backs and the veteran had 33 against them last year.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.