AFL Tips – St Kilda v Carlton

St Kilda and Carlton close out the round at Marvel Stadium on Sunday night with a wildcard spot on the line, and this one shapes as a shootout.

Best Bet

Over 174.5 Points

Total Match Points

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$1.90

A great game this, and the total is where the value sits.

The last five meetings between these teams have gone under, but both sides are playing different football this year. The historically stingy Saints are only eighth for points conceded and Carlton sit 10th.

After a strong defensive start under Josh Fraser, the Blues have put the foot down over the last fortnight, posting 154 points against Brisbane and 110 against Gold Coast. Just as importantly, they conceded 78 and 97 in those games.

Carlton will need to score to compete in a potential finals series, so it is hard to see them going into their shell now.

The Saints are coming off a 195 point shootout of their own.

Expect goals.

Same Game Multi

Over 174.5 Points, B.Hill 25+ Disposals, J.Higgins 2+ Goals, W.Hayward Anytime Goal

Same Game Multi

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$6.00

Brad Hill has had 30 or more disposals in four of his last five at Marvel Stadium and continues to take Jack Sinclair’s disposals from the backline.

Jack Higgins has kicked two or more goals in four straight at the venue.

Will Hayward averages 1.4 goals across his last five against the Saints.

Value Bet

N.Wanganeen-Milera 3+ Goals

Player Goals

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$5.50

The Saints look a little thin up forward and will need Wanganeen-Milera to hit the scoreboard again.

He has kicked seven goals across his last two games and is under a slight injury cloud, so he may spend more time forward.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.