AFL Tips – GWS Giants v Essendon – Round 21 2022

The Bombers have been a line covering machine of late and look set to get the job done once more against the disappointing Giants.

Best Bet

Essendon -2.5

The win-loss record tells part of the story as far as these two teams are concerned but the line record is much more illuminating.

Since the bye, the Bombers are 6-2 against the number, and they have covered the last five games in a row. By contrast, the Giants are 3-5 against the line and have failed to cover their last four.

After coach Leon Cameron was sacked GWS were temporarily reinvigorated, particularly offensively, but in the last six weeks the Giants biggest score is 77 against Carlton.

Since Round 15 the Giants have goaled from just 16.4% of their inside 50 entries – ranked last in the competition. Over the last four weeks, they rank last for getting the ball inside 50.

They are damning numbers and clearly all is not well at Blacktown with interim coach Mark McVeigh calling out his side’s damning lack of effort against Sydney last week.

in current form, it’s impossible to see the Giants pushing an Essendon side that is still underrated by the bookmakers.

Get on Betseeker Bingo with TopSport. If two or more listed players kick the first goal this round, you win! There are chances to win across all nine games.

Same Game Multi

Essendon -2.5, M.Redman 25+ Disposals, K.Langford 1+ Goals

Mason Redman has cleared thirty in the last two full games he has played, while Kyle Langford has seven goals from his last four matches.

Value Bet

30+ Disposals
Mason Redman

Mason Redman’s form has been a real highlight of the second half of the season for Essendon. In the last two matches he has completed he has won 32 and 34 disposals respectively. He looks good value to clear the 30 mark once again.

Avatar photo
Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.