AFL Tips – Geelong v West Coast – Round 23 2022

This has all the hallmarks of a walloping, but there are reasons for punters to be cautious.

Best Bet

West Coast +65.5
Line

This is a tricky game and I would find it difficult to take the massive line for Geelong here.

Yes, Geelong are in supreme form. West Coast are awful. But the Cats have already well and truly secured top spot on the ladder. It is hard to know exactly what a team with nothing to play for will produce.

No coach throws the magnets around more than Chris Scott, and even though there is the pre finals bye ahead, no one can be sure exactly which 22 players will be in the side until they run out on the field.

There is some recent form as well that suggests the Eagles can put up a fight. They were only beaten by three goals at home by the Cats in Round 14.

Since the bye, the Eagles have been much more competitive. They have only lost one game by more than six goals.

The other factor is the weather. There is some rain forecast for Saturday. Whether it is enough to affect the game, who knows, but with a more than ten goal start the Eagles look the play, albeit with minimal confidence.

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Same Game Multi

J. Darling 2+ Goals, I.Smith, B.Close 1+ Goals, X. O'Neill 15+ Disposals

Jack Darling was held to just one last week against Freo but he has had a good season under the circumstances and looks value for two or more. Isaac Smith and Brad Close look the value for the Cats. Xavier O’Neill has been seeing more midfield time of late for the Eagles.


Value Bet

West Coast
First Quarter Winner

West Coast have been starting games okay of late. They led Freo last week at quarter time and only bad kicking stopped them leading at quarter time the week before. If they bring their best and Geelong is a bit complacent, it’s possible that they can go into quarter time in front.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.