AFL Tips – Collingwood v Western Bulldogs – Round 9 2022

A shootout under the dome looks in the offing.

Best Bet

Over 167.5 ($1.91)

The over is 11-5 in games contested by these two sides this year and under the Dome they can combine to go over the total once again.

Collingwood are playing a much more aggressive style this season. They are going through the corridor at the third highest rate in the league. This is a high risk, high reward style of play that can produce plenty of points when executed well, but conversely can leave them open to being scored against heavily.

This shows up in their stats and their ladder position. The Pies are the only side to have scored and conceded more than 700 points this season.

The Dogs have been dreadfully disappointing in 2022 but they have shown they still have the ability to kick high scores against bad defences, which Collingwood certainly are. The Pies concede a goal from 27% of opponent inside 50s, ranked 17th in the league.

With Luke Beveridge’s men averaging more than 100 points per game at Marvel this year, expect big scores – for both sides – in this one.

Same Game Multi

Over 167.5 / B.Mihocek, A.Naughton 2+ Goals / J.Crisp 1+ Goal ($6.75)

Crisp has been playing a more attacking role in the last few weeks, and has goaled in each of the last three games. In a high scoring match, the leading key forwards from each side should have plenty of chances to hit the scoreboard.n

Value Bet

Over 200.5 Points ($7.00)

This game should be high scoring. It might well be very high scoring and the $7 on offer for the double ton is tempting.

Avatar photo
Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.