AFL Tips – Adelaide v West Coast – Round 12 2022

West Coast are historically awful and will get smashed again.

Best Bet

Adelaide -38.5

The market continues to underrate just how bad West Coast are. They have only covered twice from 11 matches this season.

Only once, however, has the line been set over 40.5, and that was when they were away to Brisbane. The line in this game should be closer to ten goals.

Make no mistake, West Coast are an awful football team. They have now lost their last seven matches by at least 52 points. They have suffered the ignominy of a 100 point defeat twice, both at home.

Yes, Adelaide have their problems. But their last three outings – against some of the top teams in the league – have all been far more competitive than the scoreboard suggests.

In the last three weeks they have kicked 25 goals and 40 behinds, so with more accurate kicking the narrative around this team would be very different.

Expect the Crows to win in a canter.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -38.5, Taylor Walker, Shane McAdam 3+ Goals, Rory Laird 30+ Disposals

With a big Crows win in the offing playing the Crows forwards to feast looks a sound strategy. Laird is a ball winning machine and had 36 and 34 in his two outings against the Eagles last season.

Value Bet

Adelaide -71.5
Full Time Alternate Handicaps

Keen to take the Crows by some of the bigger margins here and to win by 12 goals at $5.50 looks quite achievable. $26 to win by 91 to 100 and 101+ is also worth a spec.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.