Elena Rybakina was crowned the Australian Open Champion, and the Kazakh is playing well enough to add the French Open to her trophy cabinet.
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Champion
Playing well enough that she can back-up from her Australian Open title, despite listed on the fourth line of betting.
Elena Rybakina is 30-7 on the year, and has shown more than enough on clay in the lead-up with a 9-2 record.
A somewhat straight forward draw for the Kazakh, with a likely Quarter Final matchup with Mirra Andreeva her first real obstacle – although a Round of 16 run against Sorana Cirstea could be tricky. If playing at her level though, she’ll be tough to beat on any surface.
Runner Up
Easiest part of the draw for Coco Gauff in the second quarter. Amanda Anisimova is the obvious challenger, but Anisimova is entering Roland Garros seriously underdone.
Gauff has been solid in 2026, and on clay she owns an 8-3 record including reaching the Final in Rome.
She is a proven performer at Roland Garros, due to her erratic serve not being as big of an issue on clay, winning last year’s French Open. The American is in the easy quarter and half of the draw, and will be every chance to back up.
Semi Finalists
Not exactly an outstanding clay courter, but Jessica Pegula’s overall form cannot be overlooked.
The American has gone 28-6 in 2026 including the Semi Final at the Australian Open, and her clay lead-up has also been strong going 9-2 including winning at Charleston.
Does feature in Sabalenka’s quarter, but with an injury cloud around the Belarussian there won’t be a better opportunity for Pegula to take out the world number one here.
Huge fortnight for Svitolina winning in Rome with wins over Rybakina, Swiatek and Gauff.
The Ukrainian is 8-2 on clay this year, but the underlying issue has been getting to the next level at majors.
Potentially the toughest quarter of the draw featuring Swiatek, former champion Ostapenko, the extremely in-form Kostyuk, and Bencic – she can certainly do some damage on her way to the second week, but will be difficult to move into her first Grand Slam Final.
Roughies
I like unpacking the weakest quarter of the draw for value, and Anastasia is one of the most in-form players from Q2.
The Russian is 11-3 on clay this year, and has beaten the likes of Rybakina, Ostapenko and Muchova. Potapova reached the Final in Linz where she lost to Andreeva in three, and then backed it up by reaching the Semi Final in Madrid where she lost to Kostyuk in three.
The biggest issue for the Russian is having to face Gauff in the third-round, but if she knocks off the defending champ the path opens up for her.
Sorana Cirstea is playing with house money. She declared 2026 will be her last year on tour, but the way the Romanian is playing she may change her mind.
Cirstea is 25-8 on the year including 10-3 on clay this year, and has taken some scalps including Sabalenka and Noskova in Rome.
She’s certainly got a winnable draw to the Round of 16 where she’ll run into Rybakina assuming the Kazakh advances to this stage.
