Tennis Tips – Australian Open Men’s Final Tips

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Best Bet

Under 19.5 Aces

Total Match Aces

$1.82

Value Bet

Carlos Alcaraz 3-1

Set Betting

$3.60

The handicap and total games have been set well by the bookmakers, so I’ll take a different approach for the Men’s Grand Slam Final and look at the aces.

Djokovic and Alcaraz have faced off in five majors across their career, and it hasn’t come close to this ace total in all five matches.

If this gets to five the line could be in danger, but in these matchups they’re averaging 3.6 aces per set – so even if it does go the distance, there’s every chance it goes under the total of 19.5.

As for the match, we should never doubt Novak Djokovic but I do think Carlos Alcaraz will be too good despite the Semi Final cramping.

It was a tactical masterstroke by Djokovic against Sinner – but statistically it was the worst rated service + return points percentage of any winner this Australian Open.

This being said, Djokovic has played extremely well against Alcaraz across his career with the only blip at last year’s US Open where the Spaniard won in a convincing straight sets. With 25 Grand Slam titles on the line, expect Djokovic to take a set early, but the Spaniard has shown maturity beyond his years this tournament and will regroup to win in four.