Aryna Sabalenka will look to win her third Australian Open title in a replay of the 2023 Final – the Belarussian’s first major, but there’s a huge obstacle in the way in the in-form Elena Rybakina.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
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Huge chance of an upset in this Grand Slam Final, with Aryna Sabalenka looking to win her third Australian Open crown.
Elena Rybakina has produced an incredible run of tennis since October, winning 19 of her last 20 matches – but more impressively, she’s 9-0 against top-10 opposition during this run including beating Sabalenka in straight sets in the WTA Finals Final.
The Kazakh has a great recent record against Sabalenka – from their last eight hard court matches, Rybakina has won six of them, while across the 14 matches they’ve played over their career it’s the Kazakh that has the edge of service + return points won, with a percentage of 102.4% vs 97.6% for Sabalenka – despite Sabalenka leading the head-to-head 8-6.
From the last 11 matches dating back to Indian Wells in 2023, Rybakina has covered the game handicap in nine of those including six of the last seven. The historical numbers along with the stats this Australian Open indicate Rybakina can win her first Australian Open.
